Brattvåg v Mjondalen

Brattvåg meet Mjondalen in the 2. Division - Group 1 regular season - 13. The model makes Mjondalen the most likely outcome at 43%, with the full read 29% BRA, 28% draw, 43% MJO.

The baseline ratings are close, 1492 to 1604, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Mjondalen, 63% against 45%. Attacking output favors Mjondalen on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.5 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 73%, over 2.5 goals around 79%. Draw no bet leans Mjondalen at 59%; double chance reads Brattvåg or draw 57%, Mjondalen or draw 71%.

Brattvåg arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 3-5 v Mjondalen, D 1-1 @ Lysekloster, L 1-2 v jerv, W 1-0 @ Sotra.

Mjondalen are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 11 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 5-3 @ Brattvåg, W 1-0 v Bjarg, W 2-1 @ Notodden, D 3-3 v Kvik Halden.

Mjondalen hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Brattvåg 3-5 Mjondalen.

The market prices BRA at 48% implied. Our number sits apart on Mjondalen: a 16.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 83 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.