Bjarg v Pors Grenland

Bjarg meet Pors Grenland in the 2. Division - Group 1 regular season - 13 at Stavollen kunstgress, undefined. The model makes Pors Grenland the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 33% BJA, 29% draw, 38% POR.

The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1581, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 60%. Attacking output favors Bjarg on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.6 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 65%, over 2.5 goals around 65%. Draw no bet leans Pors Grenland at 53%; double chance reads Bjarg or draw 62%, Pors Grenland or draw 67%.

Bjarg arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Pors Grenland, L 0-1 @ Mjondalen, W 3-1 v Vidar, W 3-2 @ Træff.

Pors Grenland are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Bjarg, L 2-4 v Arendal, W 2-0 v Eik-Tønsberg, D 1-1 @ Vidar.

Pors Grenland hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Bjarg 0-1 Pors Grenland.

The market prices BJA at 63% implied. Our number sits apart on Pors Grenland: a 21.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.