Where the market is wrong on Kongsvinger v Strommen
Kongsvinger meet Strommen in the 1. Division regular season - 16 at Gjemselund Stadion, Kongsvinger. The model makes Kongsvinger the most likely outcome at 54%, with the full read 54% KON, 24% draw, 22% STR.
Kongsvinger rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1684 to 1400. Recent form leans Kongsvinger, 75% against 33%. Attacking output favors Kongsvinger on expected goals, 2.8 to 1.2 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 71%, over 2.5 goals around 90%. Draw no bet leans Kongsvinger at 71%; double chance reads Kongsvinger or draw 78%, Strommen or draw 46%.
Kongsvinger arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 19 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 6-1 @ Sandnes ULF, W 5-1 v Sogndal, L 2-4 @ Haugesund, D 4-4 v Stromsgodset.
Strommen are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v ODD Ballklubb, L 0-1 @ Raufoss, W 3-2 v Moss, W 1-0 v Stabaek.
Kongsvinger hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Strommen 2-2 Kongsvinger.
The market prices KON at 68% implied. Our number sits apart on Strommen: a 7.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
