HJK Helsinki v Turku PS

HJK Helsinki meet Turku PS in the Veikkausliiga regular season - 17 at Bolt Arena, Helsinki. The model makes HJK Helsinki the most likely outcome at 46%, with the full read 46% HJK, 28% draw, 26% TUR.

HJK Helsinki rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1650 to 1512. Recent form leans HJK Helsinki, 70% against 50%. Attacking output favors HJK Helsinki on expected goals, 2.7 to 1.3 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 57%, over 2.5 goals around 66%. Draw no bet leans HJK Helsinki at 64%; double chance reads HJK Helsinki or draw 74%, Turku PS or draw 54%.

HJK Helsinki arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 10 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Turku PS, W 5-0 v Coleraine FC, W 2-1 v VPS, L 0-2 @ Lahti.

Turku PS are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ HJK Helsinki, L 1-3 v Ilves, W 3-0 v AC Oulu, L 1-3 @ SJK.

HJK Helsinki hold the recent head-to-head, 8 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: HJK Helsinki 1-0 Turku PS.

The market prices HJK at 67% implied. Our number sits apart on Turku PS: a 11.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.