Where the market is wrong on Norrköping W v Hammarby W
Norrköping W meet Hammarby W in the Damallsvenskan regular season - 13 at Norrkopings Idrottspark, undefined. The model makes Hammarby W the most likely outcome at 56%, with the full read 18% NOR, 26% draw, 56% HAM.
Hammarby W rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1730 to 1466. Recent form leans Hammarby W, 80% against 45%. Attacking output favors Hammarby W on expected goals, 2.0 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 34%, over 2.5 goals around 62%. Draw no bet leans Hammarby W at 75%; double chance reads Norrköping W or draw 44%, Hammarby W or draw 82%.
Norrköping W arrive patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 3 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 v Hammarby W, D 1-1 v Vittsjö W, D 0-0 v Växjö W, D 1-1 @ Rosengård W.
Hammarby W are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 11 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 @ Norrköping W, D 1-1 @ Piteå W, W 4-1 v AIK W, L 0-1 v Häcken W.
Hammarby W hold the recent head-to-head, 8 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Norrköping W 0-4 Hammarby W.
The market prices NOR at 13% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 5.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
