Valerenga v Ham-Kam: the model read
Valerenga meet Ham-Kam in the Eliteserien regular season - 16 at Intility Arena, Oslo. The model makes Valerenga the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 37% VAL, 28% draw, 35% HAM.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 53%. Attacking output favors Valerenga on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 76%, over 2.5 goals around 77%. Draw no bet leans Valerenga at 51%; double chance reads Valerenga or draw 65%, Ham-Kam or draw 63%.
Valerenga arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 13 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 @ Brann, W 6-1 v Aalesund, L 0-4 @ Tromso, W 3-1 v Fredrikstad.
Ham-Kam are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 5 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Sarpsborg 08 FF, L 0-3 @ Bodo/Glimt, L 1-4 v Tromso, D 2-2 @ Sandefjord.
Ham-Kam hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Ham-Kam 1-0 Valerenga.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
