Ludogorets v Levski Sofia: the model read
Ludogorets meet Levski Sofia in the Cup quarter-finals at Huvepharma Arena, Razgrad. The model makes Levski Sofia the most likely outcome at 44%, with the full read 24% LUD, 32% draw, 44% LEV.
Levski Sofia rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1707 to 1541. Recent form leans Levski Sofia, 80% against 55%. Attacking output favors Levski Sofia on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.2 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 28%, over 2.5 goals around 29%. Draw no bet leans Levski Sofia at 65%; double chance reads Ludogorets or draw 56%, Levski Sofia or draw 76%.
Ludogorets arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 5 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Dunav Ruse, L 0-2 @ Hapoel Tel Aviv, W 1-0 v Lokomotiv Plovdiv, W 1-0 v Teuta Durrës.
Levski Sofia are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 10 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Lokomotiv Sofia, W 1-0 v Universitatea Craiova, W 2-1 v Dunav Ruse, W 4-0 v Borac Banja Luka.
Ludogorets hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 1 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Ludogorets 1-1 Levski Sofia.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
