Lokomotiv Plovdiv v Botev Plovdiv: the model read
Lokomotiv Plovdiv meet Botev Plovdiv in the Cup quarter-finals at Stadion Lokomotiv, Plovdiv. The model makes Botev Plovdiv the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 29% LOK, 32% draw, 39% BOT.
The baseline ratings are close, 1592 to 1627, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 63% against 65%. Attacking output favors Botev Plovdiv on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 38%, over 2.5 goals around 32%. Draw no bet leans Botev Plovdiv at 57%; double chance reads Lokomotiv Plovdiv or draw 61%, Botev Plovdiv or draw 71%.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 6 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Septemvri Sofia, L 0-1 @ Ludogorets, W 2-0 @ Rilski Sportist, W 2-0 v Arda Kardzhali.
Botev Plovdiv are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ CSKA Sofia, D 1-1 v Lokomotiv Sofia, W 4-0 v Beroe, W 1-0 v Spartak Varna.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 5 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2-1 Botev Plovdiv.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
