Where the market is wrong on Fort Wayne v One Knoxville
Fort Wayne meet One Knoxville in the USL League One group stage at Ruoff Mortgage Stadium, undefined.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans One Knoxville, 60% against 45%. Attacking output favors Fort Wayne on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.6 per match.
Fort Wayne arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 11 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Naples, L 2-3 v One Knoxville, W 3-1 @ Greenville Triumph, L 2-4 v NY Cosmos.
One Knoxville are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Union Omaha, W 3-2 @ Fort Wayne, D 0-0 v Naples, W 2-1 @ Alta.
One Knoxville hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Fort Wayne 2-3 One Knoxville.
The market prices FOR at 39% implied. Our number sits apart on One Knoxville: a 5.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 64 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
