NY Cosmos v Boise: the model read
NY Cosmos meet Boise in the USL League One group stage at Hinchliffe Stadium, undefined. The model makes Boise the most likely outcome at 49%, with the full read 24% NY , 27% draw, 49% BOI.
Boise rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1581 to 1400. Recent form leans Boise, 60% against 28%. Attacking output favors Boise on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 60%, over 2.5 goals around 74%. Draw no bet leans Boise at 67%; double chance reads NY Cosmos or draw 51%, Boise or draw 76%.
NY Cosmos arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Boise, L 0-3 @ Westchester SC, D 0-0 v Corpus Christi, D 1-1 @ Portland Hearts of Pine.
Boise are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 8 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ NY Cosmos, W 2-1 v Portland Hearts of Pine, W 2-0 v Sacramento Republic, W 1-0 @ Westchester SC.
Boise hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: NY Cosmos 1-2 Boise.
The market prices NY at 24% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 2.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
