Where the market is wrong on Alta v Westchester SC
Alta meet Westchester SC in the USL League One group stage at Lancaster Municipal Stadium, undefined. The model makes Alta the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 39% ALT, 30% draw, 31% WES.
Alta rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1558 to 1408. Recent form leans Alta, 57% against 35%. Attacking output favors Westchester SC on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 58%, over 2.5 goals around 57%. Draw no bet leans Alta at 56%; double chance reads Alta or draw 69%, Westchester SC or draw 61%.
Alta arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Westchester SC, W 3-2 @ One Knoxville, L 0-1 @ Chattanooga Red Wolves, W 2-1 v Phoenix Rising.
Westchester SC are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Alta, W 3-0 v NY Cosmos, D 2-2 @ Union Omaha, L 1-2 @ Hartford Athletic.
The market prices ALT at 53% implied. Our number sits apart on Westchester SC: a 8.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
