Detroit City v Las Vegas Lights

Detroit City meet Las Vegas Lights in the USL Championship group stage at Keyworth Stadium, undefined. The model makes Detroit City the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 41% DET, 31% draw, 28% LAS.

The baseline ratings are close, 1592 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Detroit City, 63% against 45%. Attacking output favors Las Vegas Lights on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 45%, over 2.5 goals around 44%. Draw no bet leans Detroit City at 59%; double chance reads Detroit City or draw 72%, Las Vegas Lights or draw 59%.

Detroit City arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 6 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Las Vegas Lights, W 2-0 v Indy Eleven, W 2-1 @ Fort Wayne, W 2-1 @ Birmingham Legion.

Las Vegas Lights are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Detroit City, W 2-1 @ San Antonio, W 3-2 @ Monterey Bay, L 1-2 v El Paso Locomotive.

Detroit City hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Detroit City 0-1 Las Vegas Lights.

The market prices DET at 58% implied. Our number sits apart on Las Vegas Lights: a 9.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.