Drogheda United v Shamrock Rovers

Drogheda United meet Shamrock Rovers in the Premier Division regular season - 26 at Weavers Park, Drogheda. The model makes Shamrock Rovers the most likely outcome at 47%, with the full read 25% DRO, 28% draw, 47% SHA.

Shamrock Rovers rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1650 to 1444. Recent form leans Shamrock Rovers, 68% against 42%. Attacking output favors Shamrock Rovers on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.5 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 56%, over 2.5 goals around 67%. Draw no bet leans Shamrock Rovers at 66%; double chance reads Drogheda United or draw 53%, Shamrock Rovers or draw 75%.

Drogheda United arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Sligo Rovers, W 4-0 v Lucan United, W 2-1 @ Dundalk, L 0-2 v Bohemians.

Shamrock Rovers are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 11 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Ararat-Armenia, W 4-1 v Cork City, W 5-1 v Floriana, L 0-2 @ Floriana.

Shamrock Rovers hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 0 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Shamrock Rovers 4-1 Drogheda United.

The market prices DRO at 20% implied. Our number sits apart on Drogheda United: a 4.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.