Dundalk v Drogheda United: the model read
Dundalk meet Drogheda United in the Premier Division regular season - 24 at Oriel Park, Dundalk. The model makes Dundalk the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 41% DUN, 29% draw, 31% DRO.
The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1444, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Dundalk, 57% against 42%. Attacking output favors Dundalk on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.5 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 68%, over 2.5 goals around 70%. Draw no bet leans Dundalk at 57%; double chance reads Dundalk or draw 69%, Drogheda United or draw 59%.
Dundalk arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ St Patrick's Athl., W 3-1 @ St Mochta's, L 1-2 v Drogheda United, L 1-2 @ Shelbourne.
Drogheda United are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Sligo Rovers, W 4-0 v Lucan United, W 2-1 @ Dundalk, L 0-2 v Bohemians.
Drogheda United hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Dundalk 1-2 Drogheda United.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
