Where the market is wrong on Mirassol v Remo
Mirassol meet Remo in the Serie A regular season - 21. The model makes Remo the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 34% MIR, 32% draw, 35% REM.
The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 55%. Attacking output favors Remo on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 46%, over 2.5 goals around 40%. Draw no bet leans Remo at 51%; double chance reads Mirassol or draw 65%, Remo or draw 66%.
Mirassol arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Vasco DA Gama, W 2-1 v Gremio, L 0-1 @ Atletico Paranaense, L 0-1 @ Lanus.
Remo are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Vitoria, L 0-3 @ Corinthians, W 1-0 v Sao Paulo, L 1-2 v Atletico Paranaense.
Remo hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Remo 2-2 Mirassol.
The market prices MIR at 55% implied. Our number sits apart on Remo: a 15.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 80 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
