Where the market is wrong on Minnesota United FC v Orlando City SC
Minnesota United FC meet Orlando City SC in the Major League Soccer regular season - 22 at Allianz Field, Saint Paul.
The baseline ratings are close, 1456 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Orlando City SC, 55% against 45%. Attacking output favors Orlando City SC on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.5 per match.
Minnesota United FC arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 13 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 v Orlando City SC, W 5-1 @ San Jose Earthquakes, L 1-2 v Atlanta United FC, D 1-1 @ Real Salt Lake.
Orlando City SC are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 9 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 @ Minnesota United FC, W 2-1 v Real Salt Lake, L 1-2 v Chicago Fire, D 1-1 v FC Cincinnati.
Orlando City SC hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Minnesota United FC 3-3 Orlando City SC.
The market prices MIN at 52% implied. Our number sits apart on Orlando City SC: a 13.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
