New York City FC v Philadelphia Union: the model read
New York City FC meet Philadelphia Union in the Major League Soccer regular season - 19 at Yankee Stadium, Bronx.
The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 50%. Attacking output favors Philadelphia Union on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.4 per match.
New York City FC arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 6 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Toronto FC, D 1-1 @ New England Revolution, L 1-2 @ FC Cincinnati, L 2-3 v Philadelphia Union.
Philadelphia Union are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ New York Red Bulls, D 1-1 @ Austin, D 2-2 v Inter Miami, W 3-2 @ New York City FC.
Philadelphia Union hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 4 across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: New York City FC 2-3 Philadelphia Union.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
