Columbus Crew v FC Cincinnati

Columbus Crew meet FC Cincinnati in the Major League Soccer regular season - 19 at ScottsMiracle-Gro Field, undefined. The model makes FC Cincinnati the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 35% COL, 27% draw, 38% FC .

The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans FC Cincinnati, 57% against 48%. Attacking output favors FC Cincinnati on expected goals, 2.8 to 1.6 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 87%, over 2.5 goals around 91%. Draw no bet leans FC Cincinnati at 53%; double chance reads Columbus Crew or draw 62%, FC Cincinnati or draw 65%.

Columbus Crew arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 6 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v New York City FC, D 1-1 v Burnley, W 2-0 v Atlanta United FC, W 1-0 v New York City FC.

FC Cincinnati are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 19 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: W 4-3 v Vancouver Whitecaps, W 3-1 v Burnley, W 6-2 v Orlando City SC, D 3-3 @ San Diego.

The recent head-to-head is even, 4 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: FC Cincinnati 2-1 Columbus Crew.

The market prices COL at 55% implied. Our number sits apart on FC Cincinnati: a 15.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 82 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.