Nashville SC v CF Montreal

Nashville SC meet CF Montreal in the Major League Soccer regular season - 18 at Geodis Park, Nashville. The model makes Nashville SC the most likely outcome at 47%, with the full read 47% NAS, 28% draw, 24% CF .

Nashville SC rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1661 to 1500. Recent form leans Nashville SC, 73% against 48%. Attacking output favors CF Montreal on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.6 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 50%, over 2.5 goals around 61%. Draw no bet leans Nashville SC at 66%; double chance reads Nashville SC or draw 76%, CF Montreal or draw 53%.

Nashville SC arrive surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 10 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v CF Montreal, W 1-0 v Atlanta United FC, W 2-1 v New York City FC, W 3-2 v Los Angeles FC.

CF Montreal are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Toronto FC, W 2-1 v Vancouver FC, W 2-1 @ Vancouver FC, D 4-4 @ DC United.

Nashville SC hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Nashville SC 1-0 CF Montreal.

The market prices NAS at 63% implied. Our number sits apart on CF Montreal: a 8.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.