Tirol/CEFAT v Ferroviario: the model read
Tirol/CEFAT meet Ferroviario in the Copa Fares Lopes quarter-finals. The model makes Ferroviario the most likely outcome at 43%, with the full read 25% TIR, 32% draw, 43% FER.
Ferroviario rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1604 to 1400. Recent form leans Ferroviario, 65% against 33%. Attacking output favors Ferroviario on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 33%, over 2.5 goals around 34%. Draw no bet leans Ferroviario at 63%; double chance reads Tirol/CEFAT or draw 57%, Ferroviario or draw 75%.
Tirol/CEFAT arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 6 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Piauí, D 0-0 v Ferroviario, W 3-0 @ Uniclinic Atletico Clube, D 1-1 v Fluminense PI.
Ferroviario are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Goiatuba EC, W 3-0 v Imperatriz, D 1-1 @ Imperatriz, W 2-0 v Central SC.
Ferroviario hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Tirol/CEFAT 0-0 Ferroviario.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
