Estudiantil CNI won the Copa Perú final 2-1 against ANBA Peru, a result that ran counter to the pre-match expectations of the Lemeister model. The model had given ANBA Peru a 46 per cent win probability and projected a 1-0 away victory, but a quick double from E. Torres just before half-time proved decisive. The narrow margin of victory suggests that the final was a tight contest, but the statistical data available offers limited detail to explain exactly how the game was won and lost.
The match was decided by a concentrated burst of scoring either side of the interval. E. Torres opened the scoring in the 43rd minute, giving Estudiantil CNI the lead as the first half neared its end. He then struck again two minutes later, in first-half stoppage time, to double the advantage. Both goals are recorded as normal goals without an assist, meaning Torres produced the finishes without a recorded creator. Those two goals, arriving in a span of two minutes, gave Estudiantil CNI a commanding lead at the break and placed ANBA Peru under immediate pressure.
ANBA Peru reduced the deficit through A. Vela in the 55th minute, also an unassisted normal goal. That strike, coming ten minutes into the second half, made the score 2-1 and gave the away side more than half an hour to find an equaliser. The fact that they could not add a second goal despite trailing for 35 minutes of the second half points to a disciplined defensive effort from Estudiantil CNI after they lost their clean sheet. Vela’s goal kept ANBA Peru in the contest, but they were unable to force the game into extra time.
No other match statistics were recorded. There is no possession, shots, shots on target, expected goals, passing accuracy, corners or any other data available to interrogate. This absence of statistical context means the analysis must rest entirely on the goal timeline and the built-in logic of the scoreline. Without data on how many chances each side created or how the territorial battle unfolded, it is impossible to say whether Estudiantil CNI deserved the win on the balance of play, or whether ANBA Peru were unlucky not to score more. The lack of cards also suggests the contest was not particularly ill-tempered, though the absence of player ratings removes the usual lens for identifying standout performers beyond the scorers.
The only named players on the scoresheet are E. Torres and A. Vela. Torres’s brace was the defining contribution of the match, with two goals in two minutes either side of the scheduled 45th minute. That double gave his team a lead that, despite Vela’s reply, they never relinquished. Vela’s goal was important for keeping ANBA Peru in the contest, but he could not add a second strike to force a draw. Without any other named attacking players or assists recorded, these two individuals represent the only measurable influence on the final score.
The victory delivers the Copa Perú title to Estudiantil CNI. For ANBA Peru, who entered the final as the Lemeister model’s favoured side with a 46 per cent chance of victory, the defeat will be a disappointment. Their projected scoreline of 1-0 was narrowly off; they scored once but conceded twice in a 12-minute spell straddling half-time. The result means Estudiantil CNI will be the champions, while ANBA Peru must regroup after falling short in the deciding fixture. The model’s pre-match read, which gave the away side the highest probability, was ultimately overturned by the determined finishing of Torres.
