Juvenes / Dogana v Tre Penne: the model read
Juvenes / Dogana meet Tre Penne in the Coppa Titano quarter-finals at San Marino Stadium, Serravalle. The model makes Tre Penne the most likely outcome at 54%, with the full read 19% JUV, 27% draw, 54% TRE.
Tre Penne rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1707 to 1408. Recent form leans Tre Penne, 80% against 38%. Attacking output favors Tre Penne on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 33%, over 2.5 goals around 58%. Draw no bet leans Tre Penne at 74%; double chance reads Juvenes / Dogana or draw 46%, Tre Penne or draw 81%.
Juvenes / Dogana arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Virtus, D 0-0 @ Virtus, D 1-1 v Libertas, W 5-2 v Murata.
Tre Penne are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Domagnano, L 0-1 v La Fiorita, D 1-1 @ La Fiorita, D 0-0 @ Cosmos.
Tre Penne hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Tre Penne 3-1 Juvenes / Dogana.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
