Esteghlal FC v Malavan: the model read
Esteghlal FC meet Malavan in the Persian Gulf Pro League regular season - 13 at Azadi Stadium, Tehran. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 35% EST, 37% draw, 28% MAL.
The baseline ratings are close, 1582 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 62% against 56%. Attacking output favors Esteghlal FC on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 19%, over 2.5 goals around 11%. Draw no bet leans Esteghlal FC at 55%; double chance reads Esteghlal FC or draw 72%, Malavan or draw 65%.
Esteghlal FC arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Fajr Sepasi, W 1-0 @ Mes Rafsanjan, L 2-3 @ Al Hussein, L 0-1 v Al Hussein.
Malavan are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 3 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Tractor Sazi, L 0-1 @ Kheybar Khorramabad, W 1-0 v Persepolis FC, L 0-1 @ Gol Gohar.
Esteghlal FC hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 0 with 3 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Esteghlal FC 1-0 Malavan.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
