AD Carmelita v LD Alajuelense: the model read
AD Carmelita meet LD Alajuelense in the Copa Costa Rica quarter-finals. The model makes LD Alajuelense the most likely outcome at 44%, with the full read 26% AD , 30% draw, 44% LD .
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans LD Alajuelense, 43% against 26%. Attacking output favors LD Alajuelense on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 45%, over 2.5 goals around 49%. Draw no bet leans LD Alajuelense at 63%; double chance reads AD Carmelita or draw 56%, LD Alajuelense or draw 74%.
AD Carmelita arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 3 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Aserri FC, D 1-1 v Futbol Consultants Moravia, L 0-3 @ CS Uruguay, W 1-0 v Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC.
LD Alajuelense are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Sporting San Jose, L 0-1 v CS Herediano, L 1-2 @ Municipal Liberia, W 5-2 v Puntarenas FC.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
