Western Suburbs v Wellington Phoenix II: the model read
Western Suburbs meet Wellington Phoenix II in the National League - National championship group - 11 at Endeavour Park, undefined. The model makes Western Suburbs the most likely outcome at 45%, with the full read 45% WES, 26% draw, 29% WEL.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1431, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Western Suburbs, 55% against 38%. Attacking output favors Western Suburbs on expected goals, 2.6 to 2.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 88%, over 2.5 goals around 94%. Draw no bet leans Western Suburbs at 60%; double chance reads Western Suburbs or draw 71%, Wellington Phoenix II or draw 55%.
Western Suburbs arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 2-7 v Wellington Phoenix II, L 1-2 @ Miramar, W 1-0 v Auckland United, L 1-3 @ Christchurch United.
Wellington Phoenix II are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 10 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 7-2 @ Western Suburbs, L 2-3 v Birkenhead United, L 0-2 @ Auckland City, W 1-0 v Coastal Spirit.
Wellington Phoenix II hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 4 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Western Suburbs 2-7 Wellington Phoenix II.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output