Vardarac v Vinogorac: the model read
Vardarac meet Vinogorac in the Third NL - Zapad east - 14 at Igralište NK Vardarac, Vardarac. The model makes Vinogorac the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 31% VAR, 30% draw, 40% VIN.
The baseline ratings are close, 1434 to 1480, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 38% against 45%. Attacking output favors Vardarac on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 57%, over 2.5 goals around 56%. Draw no bet leans Vinogorac at 56%; double chance reads Vardarac or draw 60%, Vinogorac or draw 69%.
Vardarac arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Radnički Dalj, W 2-1 v Vinogorac, L 0-1 @ Belišće, D 2-2 v Slavonija Požega.
Vinogorac are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 2 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Slavija Pleternica, L 1-2 @ Vardarac, L 0-1 v Tomislav, L 0-1 @ Bedem Ivankovo.
Vardarac hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Vardarac 2-1 Vinogorac.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output