Krk v Buje: the model read
Krk meet Buje in the Third NL - Istok west - 14 at SRC Josip Uravić Pepi, Krk. The model makes Krk the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 35% KRK, 32% draw, 33% BUJ.
The baseline ratings are close, 1625 to 1589, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 66% against 63%. Attacking output favors Krk on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 45%, over 2.5 goals around 38%. Draw no bet leans Krk at 52%; double chance reads Krk or draw 67%, Buje or draw 65%.
Krk arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 9 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ OŠK Omišalj, D 2-2 @ Lokomotiva R, W 3-0 v Kraljevica, W 3-1 @ Rudar Labin.
Buje are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Pazinka, W 2-1 v Nehaj, W 2-0 @ Novalja, D 1-1 v Naprijed Hreljin.
Krk hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Krk 1-1 Buje.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output