Miramar v Guarabira: the model read
Miramar meet Guarabira in the Paraibano 2 play-offs at Estádio Governador Ernani Sátyro, Campina Grande, Paraíba. The model makes Miramar the most likely outcome at 48%, with the full read 48% MIR, 27% draw, 25% GUA.
The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1492, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 50%. Attacking output favors Miramar on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 63%, over 2.5 goals around 76%. Draw no bet leans Miramar at 66%; double chance reads Miramar or draw 75%, Guarabira or draw 52%.
Miramar arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 4 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 v Guarabira, L 0-1 @ Confianca PB, L 0-2 @ Atlético Cajazeirense, W 2-0 v Serrano PB.
Guarabira are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Atlético Cajazeirense, D 2-2 v Atlético Cajazeirense, W 4-1 @ Miramar, L 1-2 @ Cruzeiro PB.
Guarabira hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Miramar 1-4 Guarabira.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output