Melbourne Victory v Wellington Phoenix: the model read
Melbourne Victory meet Wellington Phoenix in the A-League regular season - 23 at AAMI Park, Melbourne.
The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Melbourne Victory, 60% against 45%. Attacking output favors Melbourne Victory on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.4 per match.
Melbourne Victory arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 8 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ APIA Leichhardt Tigers, D 1-1 @ Western Sydney Wanderers, W 4-0 @ Kingborough Lions, L 0-1 v Sydney.
Wellington Phoenix are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Macarthur, W 2-1 v Western Sydney Wanderers, L 0-2 @ Melbourne City, W 1-0 @ Melbourne Victory.
Melbourne Victory hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Melbourne Victory 0-1 Wellington Phoenix.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
