Douanes v CFFEB: the model read
Douanes meet CFFEB in the Ligue 1 regular season - 30 at Stade Demba Diop, Dakar. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 31% DOU, 35% draw, 33% CFF.
The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 53%. Attacking output favors Douanes on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 24%, over 2.5 goals around 15%. Draw no bet leans CFFEB at 51%; double chance reads Douanes or draw 67%, CFFEB or draw 69%.
Douanes arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v CFFEB, L 1-2 @ Salitas, W 2-1 v SONABEL, D 1-1 v AJEB.
CFFEB are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Douanes, W 3-2 v Vitesse, W 2-1 v RC Bobo-Dioulasso, W 1-0 @ Majestic.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Douanes 1-2 CFFEB.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
