La Calzada v Pradejón: the model read
La Calzada meet Pradejón in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 group 16 - 34 at Estadio El Rollo, Santo Domingo de la Calzada. The model makes La Calzada the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 36% LA , 32% draw, 32% PRA.
The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans La Calzada, 40% against 30%. Attacking output favors La Calzada on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 44%, over 2.5 goals around 37%. Draw no bet leans La Calzada at 53%; double chance reads La Calzada or draw 68%, Pradejón or draw 64%.
La Calzada arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Pradejón, L 0-1 @ Anguiano, D 0-0 v Haro Deportivo, D 1-1 @ Agoncillo.
Pradejón are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ La Calzada, L 0-1 v Varea, W 2-0 @ Peña Balsamaiso, W 1-0 v Autol.
Pradejón hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: La Calzada 3-1 Pradejón.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
