Eibar III v Pasaia KE: the model read
Eibar III meet Pasaia KE in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 group 4 - 34 at Estadio Municipal de Ipurua, Eibar. The model makes Eibar III the most likely outcome at 46%, with the full read 46% EIB, 30% draw, 24% PAS.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Eibar III, 48% against 32%. Attacking output favors Eibar III on expected goals, 1.5 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 40%, over 2.5 goals around 48%. Draw no bet leans Eibar III at 66%; double chance reads Eibar III or draw 76%, Pasaia KE or draw 54%.
Eibar III arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 12 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Pasaia KE, D 1-1 @ Lagun Onak, W 5-0 v Deusto, L 2-4 @ Portugalete.
Pasaia KE are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Eibar III, L 0-1 v Añorga, D 0-0 @ Durango, W 3-2 v Aretxabaleta.
Eibar III hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Eibar III 3-0 Pasaia KE.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
