Jong Lede v Habay-la-Neuve: the model read
Jong Lede meet Habay-la-Neuve in the Cup 4th round at Het Pierre Cornelisstadion, Aalst. The model makes Jong Lede the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 39% JON, 30% draw, 31% HAB.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 48%. Attacking output favors Jong Lede on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.2 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 54%, over 2.5 goals around 52%. Draw no bet leans Jong Lede at 56%; double chance reads Jong Lede or draw 69%, Habay-la-Neuve or draw 61%.
Jong Lede arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 15 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Eendracht Termien, W 2-0 v Rotselaar, D 1-1 v Habay-la-Neuve, W 1-0 v Bocholt.
Habay-la-Neuve are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 2 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Excelsior Virton, L 0-1 v Albert Quévy-Mons, L 1-4 @ Rochefort, L 0-2 @ Tubize.
Their last 1 meetings are tight — 1 drawn. Most recently they met in 2025: Jong Lede 1-1 Habay-la-Neuve.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
