Sant'Angelo v Progresso: the model read
Sant'Angelo meet Progresso in the Serie D - Girone D group d - 33 at Stadio Carlo Chiesa, Sant'Angelo Lodigiano. The model makes Progresso the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 32% SAN, 32% draw, 36% PRO.
The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 48%. Attacking output favors Sant'Angelo on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 46%, over 2.5 goals around 40%. Draw no bet leans Progresso at 53%; double chance reads Sant'Angelo or draw 64%, Progresso or draw 68%.
Sant'Angelo arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Lentigione, D 1-1 v Progresso, W 1-0 @ Tuttocuoio, D 1-1 v Piacenza.
Progresso are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 10 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 v Sasso Marconi Zola, D 1-1 @ Sant'Angelo, W 2-1 @ Lentigione, D 1-1 v Correggese.
Progresso hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Sant'Angelo 1-1 Progresso.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output