Newmarket v Carina: the model read
Newmarket meet Carina in the Brisbane Premier League semi-finals at McCook Park, Newmarket. The model makes Newmarket the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 39% NEW, 26% draw, 35% CAR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1592 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 60% against 55%. Attacking output favors Carina on expected goals, 3.0 to 2.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 96%, over 2.5 goals around 98%. Draw no bet leans Newmarket at 52%; double chance reads Newmarket or draw 65%, Carina or draw 61%.
Newmarket arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 13 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Witham Town, W 2-1 @ Virginia United, L 2-3 v Woodford Town, W 5-4 v Carina.
Carina are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 19 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 4-5 @ Newmarket, W 6-2 @ Univ. Queensland, L 1-3 @ Newmarket, W 3-2 v Mt Gravatt.
Newmarket hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Newmarket 5-4 Carina.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output