Durango v Ensenada: the model read
Durango meet Ensenada in the Liga Premier Serie A apertura - 24 at Estadio Francisco Zarco, Durango. The model makes Durango the most likely outcome at 66%, with the full read 66% DUR, 21% draw, 13% ENS.
Durango rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1696 to 1400. Recent form leans Durango, 78% against 23%. Attacking output favors Durango on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 30%, over 2.5 goals around 81%. Draw no bet leans Durango at 84%; double chance reads Durango or draw 87%, Ensenada or draw 34%.
Durango arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 4 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Tepatitlán, D 0-0 v Deportiva Venados, L 1-2 @ Deportiva Venados, W 2-1 v Deportivo Zap.
Ensenada are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 8 scored and 16 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 @ UA Zacatecas, L 0-1 v Acatlan, L 0-6 @ Durango, W 6-1 v Reboceros La Piedad.
Durango hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Durango 6-0 Ensenada.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 60 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output