Cimarrones v Acatlan: the model read
Cimarrones meet Acatlan in the Liga Premier Serie A apertura - 13 at Estadio Héroe de Nacozari, Hermosillo. The model makes Cimarrones the most likely outcome at 56%, with the full read 56% CIM, 24% draw, 21% ACA.
Cimarrones rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1592 to 1408. Recent form leans Cimarrones, 65% against 33%. Attacking output favors Cimarrones on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 66%, over 2.5 goals around 88%. Draw no bet leans Cimarrones at 73%; double chance reads Cimarrones or draw 79%, Acatlan or draw 44%.
Cimarrones arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Celaya, L 1-2 @ Celaya, D 1-1 v Mineros de Fresnillo, D 1-1 @ Mineros de Fresnillo.
Acatlan are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 v Cimarrones, L 1-3 v Colima, W 1-0 @ Ensenada, W 4-2 v UA Zacatecas.
Cimarrones hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Acatlan 0-4 Cimarrones.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
