Machida Zelvia v Kashima: the model read
Machida Zelvia meet Kashima in the Emperor Cup quarter-finals at Machida Gion Stadium, Tokyo. The model makes Kashima the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 26% MAC, 33% draw, 41% KAS.
Kashima rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1742 to 1615. Recent form leans Kashima, 83% against 68%. Attacking output favors Kashima on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 30%, over 2.5 goals around 27%. Draw no bet leans Kashima at 61%; double chance reads Machida Zelvia or draw 59%, Kashima or draw 74%.
Machida Zelvia arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Fujieda MYFC, W 2-1 v Nagoya Grampus, D 2-2 @ Nagoya Grampus, W 1-0 v Urawa.
Kashima are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 10 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 5-0 v Vegalta Sendai, W 2-0 v Vissel Kobe, L 0-5 @ Vissel Kobe, W 1-0 v FC Tokyo.
The recent head-to-head is even, 4 apiece with 1 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Kashima 1-1 Machida Zelvia.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output