Trofense v Guimaraes B: the model read
Trofense meet Guimaraes B in the Liga 3 regular season - 15 at Estádio do Clube Desportivo Trofense, Trofa. The model makes Guimaraes B the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 29% TRO, 33% draw, 38% GUI.
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Guimaraes B, 53% against 38%. Attacking output favors Guimaraes B on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 33%, over 2.5 goals around 26%. Draw no bet leans Guimaraes B at 56%; double chance reads Trofense or draw 62%, Guimaraes B or draw 71%.
Trofense arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 1 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Academica, D 1-1 v Guimaraes B, D 0-0 v Amarante, L 0-1 @ Mafra.
Guimaraes B are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 7 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 @ Chaves, L 1-3 v Amarante, D 1-1 @ Trofense, L 0-2 v Mafra.
Trofense hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Trofense 1-1 Guimaraes B.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
