Machico v Ribeira Brava: the model read
Machico meet Ribeira Brava in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A group a - 26 at Estádio Municipal de Machico, Machico (Madeira). The model makes Machico the most likely outcome at 46%, with the full read 46% MAC, 32% draw, 22% RIB.
Machico rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1565 to 1400. Recent form leans Machico, 58% against 23%. Attacking output favors Machico on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 27%, over 2.5 goals around 32%. Draw no bet leans Machico at 67%; double chance reads Machico or draw 78%, Ribeira Brava or draw 54%.
Machico arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 5 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Nacional, W 1-0 v Ribeira Brava, D 0-0 @ Celoricense, W 1-0 v Vilaverdense.
Ribeira Brava are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 2 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Machico, L 2-3 v Brito, L 0-2 @ AR São Martinho, L 0-1 @ Brito.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Machico 1-0 Ribeira Brava.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
