Sweden W v England W: the model read
Sweden W meet England W in the UEFA Championship - Women quarter-finals at Stadion Letzigrund, Zürich. The model makes England W the most likely outcome at 47%, with the full read 25% SWE, 27% draw, 47% ENG.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1661, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans England W, 70% against 57%. Attacking output favors England W on expected goals, 3.0 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 63%, over 2.5 goals around 74%. Draw no bet leans England W at 65%; double chance reads Sweden W or draw 53%, England W or draw 75%.
Sweden W arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Italy W, L 1-2 @ Denmark W, W 1-0 v Serbia W, L 1-2 v Denmark W.
England W are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 7 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Ukraine W, L 0-4 @ Spain W, W 1-0 @ Iceland W, W 1-0 v Spain W.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 3 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Sweden W 2-2 England W.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
