Feirense v Chaves: the model read
Feirense meet Chaves in the Segunda Liga regular season - 22 at Estadio Marcolino de Castro, Santa Maria da Feira. The model makes Chaves the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 33% FEI, 32% draw, 36% CHA.
The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 50%. Attacking output favors Chaves on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 46%, over 2.5 goals around 40%. Draw no bet leans Chaves at 52%; double chance reads Feirense or draw 64%, Chaves or draw 67%.
Feirense arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Arouca, D 2-2 @ União de Leiria, L 1-2 v Oliveirense, W 2-1 @ Pacos Ferreira.
Chaves are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 9 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v Guimaraes B, W 2-1 v Amarante, L 0-1 @ Vizela, W 4-1 v Fafe.
The recent head-to-head is even, 4 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Feirense 1-0 Chaves.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
