Portimonense v Benfica B: the model read
Portimonense meet Benfica B in the Segunda Liga regular season - 21 at Estádio Municipal de Portimão, Portimão. The model makes Benfica B the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 31% POR, 32% draw, 37% BEN.
The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1480, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 40% against 47%. Attacking output favors Portimonense on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 42%, over 2.5 goals around 36%. Draw no bet leans Benfica B at 54%; double chance reads Portimonense or draw 63%, Benfica B or draw 69%.
Portimonense arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Rio Ave, W 1-0 v Farense, D 1-1 @ Felgueiras 1932, W 3-2 v Chaves.
Benfica B are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 3 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Casa Pia, D 1-1 v Torreense, D 1-1 v Lusitano Évora 1911, D 0-0 v Sintrense.
Portimonense hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Portimonense 1-1 Benfica B.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
