Al-Qadisiyah FC v Al-Ahli Jeddah: the model read
Al-Qadisiyah FC meet Al-Ahli Jeddah in the Super Cup semi-finals at Hong Kong Stadium, Hong Kong. The model makes Al-Qadisiyah FC the most likely outcome at 42%, with the full read 42% AL-, 28% draw, 29% AL-.
The baseline ratings are close, 1673 to 1601, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Al-Qadisiyah FC, 75% against 63%. Attacking output favors Al-Qadisiyah FC on expected goals, 2.3 to 1.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 67%, over 2.5 goals around 71%. Draw no bet leans Al-Qadisiyah FC at 59%; double chance reads Al-Qadisiyah FC or draw 71%, Al-Ahli Jeddah or draw 58%.
Al-Qadisiyah FC arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 9 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Levante, D 0-0 @ Oviedo, W 5-1 @ Al-Ittihad FC, W 2-0 v Al-Hazm.
Al-Ahli Jeddah are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 5 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Fulham, L 0-2 @ Portimonense, L 1-3 v Guimaraes, D 2-2 @ Rio Ave.
Al-Ahli Jeddah hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Al-Qadisiyah FC 3-2 Al-Ahli Jeddah.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
