Moyola Park v Lisburn Distillery: the model read
Moyola Park meet Lisburn Distillery in the Premier Intermediate League regular season - 26 at Mill Meadow, Castledawson (Caisleán Dhásain). The model makes Moyola Park the most likely outcome at 47%, with the full read 47% MOY, 26% draw, 27% LIS.
The baseline ratings are close, 1492 to 1431, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 38%. Attacking output favors Moyola Park on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 83%, over 2.5 goals around 92%. Draw no bet leans Moyola Park at 64%; double chance reads Moyola Park or draw 73%, Lisburn Distillery or draw 53%.
Moyola Park arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 10 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Crusaders FC, L 1-2 v Bangor, L 0-3 @ Cliftonville FC, L 1-3 v Ballymena United.
Lisburn Distillery are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 9 scored and 19 conceded. Recent results: L 0-6 @ Moyola Park, D 4-4 @ Strabane Athletic, L 1-3 v Ballymacash Rangers, D 3-3 v Knockbreda.
The recent head-to-head is even, 4 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Moyola Park 6-0 Lisburn Distillery.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
