Moyola Park v Dergview: the model read
Moyola Park meet Dergview in the Premier Intermediate League regular season - 4 at Mill Meadow, Castledawson (Caisleán Dhásain). The model makes Moyola Park the most likely outcome at 44%, with the full read 44% MOY, 27% draw, 29% DER.
The baseline ratings are close, 1492 to 1483, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 47%. Attacking output favors Moyola Park on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 76%, over 2.5 goals around 82%. Draw no bet leans Moyola Park at 60%; double chance reads Moyola Park or draw 71%, Dergview or draw 56%.
Moyola Park arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 10 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Crusaders FC, L 1-2 v Bangor, L 0-3 @ Cliftonville FC, L 1-3 v Ballymena United.
Dergview are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 3 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Dungannon Swifts, L 0-3 @ H&W Welders, L 1-3 @ Ballyclare Comrades, L 2-3 v Newry City AFC.
Dergview hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Dergview 1-0 Moyola Park.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
