Dunkerque v Guingamp: the model read
Dunkerque meet Guingamp in the Ligue 2 regular season - 22 at Stade Marcel Tribut, Dunkerque. The model makes Dunkerque the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 40% DUN, 32% draw, 28% GUI.
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Dunkerque, 37% against 25%. Attacking output favors Dunkerque on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 37%, over 2.5 goals around 34%. Draw no bet leans Dunkerque at 59%; double chance reads Dunkerque or draw 72%, Guingamp or draw 60%.
Dunkerque arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 8 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v KVC Westerlo, W 2-1 v Samsunspor, W 2-0 v Standard Liege, L 1-2 @ Anderlecht.
Guingamp are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 1 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Lorient, L 0-1 v Concarneau, L 1-3 @ Rennes, L 0-1 @ Clermont Foot.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
