Werder Bremen v FSV Mainz 05: the model read
Werder Bremen meet FSV Mainz 05 in the Bundesliga regular season - 26 at Weserstadion, Bremen.
FSV Mainz 05 rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1673 to 1523. Recent form leans FSV Mainz 05, 73% against 50%. Attacking output favors FSV Mainz 05 on expected goals, 3.1 to 1.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 71%, over 2.5 goals around 88%. Draw no bet leans FSV Mainz 05 at 69%; double chance reads Werder Bremen or draw 48%, FSV Mainz 05 or draw 77%.
Werder Bremen arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 10 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 @ SC Freiburg, W 3-0 @ Lüneburger SK Hansa, L 0-1 v Auxerre, D 2-2 v SC Paderborn 07.
FSV Mainz 05 are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 18 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v SC Paderborn 07, W 9-0 @ Krieschow, W 2-1 v Bournemouth, W 4-0 v Paris FC.
Werder Bremen hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Werder Bremen 0-2 FSV Mainz 05.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
