Cambuur v Jong AZ: the model read
Cambuur meet Jong AZ in the Eerste Divisie regular season - 32 at Kooi Stadion, Leeuwarden. The model makes Cambuur the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 41% CAM, 28% draw, 32% JON.
The baseline ratings are close, 1615 to 1496, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Cambuur, 65% against 47%. Attacking output favors Cambuur on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 79%, over 2.5 goals around 83%. Draw no bet leans Cambuur at 56%; double chance reads Cambuur or draw 68%, Jong AZ or draw 59%.
Cambuur arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Roda, L 2-3 @ Excelsior, W 2-1 v Vitesse, L 1-3 @ De Graafschap.
Jong AZ are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Jong Ajax, W 3-1 v FC Volendam, D 1-1 @ Waalwijk, W 2-0 v Roda.
Cambuur hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 4 across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Cambuur 3-4 Jong AZ.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
