Treviso v Mestre: the model read
Treviso meet Mestre in the Serie D - Promotion - Play-offs promotion play-offs - semi-finals at Stadio Omobono Tenni, Treviso. The model makes Treviso the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 36% TRE, 33% draw, 31% MES.
The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 53%. Attacking output favors Treviso on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 37%, over 2.5 goals around 30%. Draw no bet leans Treviso at 54%; double chance reads Treviso or draw 69%, Mestre or draw 64%.
Treviso arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Folgore Caratese, D 3-3 v Vado, L 0-1 @ Mestre, L 1-2 v Este.
Mestre are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Legnago Salus, W 1-0 v Treviso, L 0-1 @ Altavilla, D 1-1 v Legnago Salus.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output